Got the latest monthly ENSO Discussion from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. For what it's worth:
"
The chances for El Niño are predicted to be near 25% during the winter and spring. In summary, ENSO-neutral is favored during the Northern Hemisphere winter 2019-20 (~70% chance), continuing through spring 2020 (60 to 65% chance; click CPC/IRI consensus forecast for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month period)."
The full discussion:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...ensodisc.shtml