Weather

[GoDawgs]

Yesterday my email contained the latest monthly NOAA update on the El Niño forecast. It looks like what we have will be continuing for a while.

"El Niño is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2019 (70% chance) and fall (55-60% chance)"

Here's the link.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...ensodisc.shtml

Lots of technical discussion about sea surface temps etc. Somewhere in all of it is a link to a discussion page that translates it to every day language and what effects will happen where but I can't find it!

[edweather]

In a nutshell, " El Niño's effect on those during the summer months is minimal in the U.S., according to the National Weather Service."




https://weather.com/news/weather/new...through-summer

[GoDawgs]

Here are some of those minimal effects from that article:

“One impact El Niño has on U.S. weather in the summer is increased rainfall in portions of the Intermountain West…. “

“El Niño's effect on the jet stream can impact tornado development in parts of the country, in what might be its most important impact on U.S. weather… A 2015 study led by John Allen from Columbia University found spring tornado activity can be suppressed in parts of the Plains during El Niño.”

“El Niño conditions can also influence the Atlantic hurricane season if they remain in effect into the summer and fall.

“In general, wind shear – the change in wind direction and/or speed with height – is stronger in the Atlantic Basin during El Niño hurricane seasons. Wind shear tends to reduce the number of named storms and hurricanes.

More info at:
https://www.climate.gov/news-feature...and-us-climate

[Worth1]

I haven't seen much of the sun in days.
These events have a huge effect on where I live.

[bower]

Originally Posted by Worth1

I haven't seen much of the sun in days.
These events have a huge effect on where I live.

You and Salt really understated the wetting you've been getting! I read about it:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...ekend/70008236
Be careful, it's not over yet!

[edweather]

My quote was right from that article.

.....Intermountain West

.....can impact

.....can also influence

.....wind shear in the Atlantic Basin

Sorry, not much there about definite El Nino impacts.

Nothing in the article about El Nino causing wet flooding pattern in Miss valley. My thoughts and prayers are with those in that mess. Nothing worse than flooding. We went through Matthew, and rebuilt our inlaws house after Irma flooding.

[Worth1]

Originally Posted by edweather

My quote was right from that article.

.....Intermountain West

.....can impact

.....can also influence

.....wind shear in the Atlantic Basin

Sorry, not much there about definite El Nino impacts.

Nothing in the article about El Nino causing wet flooding pattern in Miss valley. My thoughts and prayers are with those in that mess. Nothing worse than flooding. We went through Matthew, and rebuilt our inlaws house after Irma flooding.

I went and read the article myself and you are right.
They are screwed up as usual.
Maybe they dont care about flyover states.
I get most of my information from NOAA.

I have spent many years studying these events and even the reasons for the demise of the Mayan civilization.
War a very long 100 year drought and over population is my take on it.

Over population has nothing to do with space.
It has to do with Food Water and Energy.

Weather events can be very disastrous for all of us.

[Tormato]

Sleet on the other end of town, yesterday. And snow, one town over.

[bower]

Originally Posted by Tormato

Sleet on the other end of town, yesterday. And snow, one town over.

Send that along south, please don't let it drift north!
We just had two days in a row with that big yellow thing showing itself in the sky, temperatures close to 50 F, perennials are starting to poke through - and about time! The grouse has been nipping some of my garlic and shallots. I assume that's because there was nothing else.

Crocuses are flowering and I saw coltsfoot blooming madly by the side of the road today. Excellent weeding weather I am ready to plant something, anything!.

[taboule]

>>> Sleet on the other end of town, yesterday. And snow, one town over.

Tormato, please push it west if you can, i've got 36 plants in the ground already and don't feel like doing replacements.

[bower]

I think Gary has been too busy to reply.
Not pushing hard enough though... this morning's rain is coming down as little bouncing white pellets.

[bower]

View of my garden from the window this morning May 22.

[oakley]

I saw the NL weather this morning Bower,

[taboule]

Bower, what's the white powdery stuff over everything?

[bower]

Originally Posted by taboule

Bower, what's the white powdery stuff over everything?

It is hydrogen monoxide flakes, sometimes considered a natural treatment for insect pests, but tbh I believe our insects have become thoroughly resistant, thanks to the frequency of treatment year round.
Personally I believe it is helpful to bring about the germination of dormant seeds. Especially tree seeds... like the spruce and var that rain upon my vegetable beds.